Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.178613 0.212105 0.249673 0.294867 0.347692 0.407414 0.479983
2025-06-01 0.129952 0.173082 0.226778 0.298256 0.390596 0.505522 0.659032
2025-06-08 0.097924 0.142302 0.202076 0.287893 0.407262 0.566639 0.794623
2025-06-15 0.081885 0.127823 0.193802 0.294512 0.443168 0.653068 0.970056
2025-06-22 0.068894 0.114582 0.184027 0.295868 0.469703 0.727308 1.134885
2025-06-29 0.057712 0.101742 0.172225 0.291417 0.485525 0.785939 1.281450
2025-07-06 0.048969 0.091129 0.161928 0.287150 0.499971 0.842612 1.429482
2025-07-13 0.044572 0.087076 0.161581 0.298732 0.540808 0.944362 1.658825
2025-07-20 0.042338 0.086460 0.166875 0.320357 0.600642 1.082712 1.961804
2025-07-27 0.039204 0.083591 0.167601 0.333648 0.646975 1.202236 2.243803
2025-08-03 0.034734 0.077340 0.161089 0.332488 0.666604 1.276486 2.452813
2025-08-10 0.029701 0.069086 0.149505 0.319931 0.663095 1.308165 2.587129
2025-08-17 0.024832 0.060580 0.136653 0.304069 0.653159 1.330386 2.713290
2025-08-24 0.022345 0.056966 0.133495 0.307842 0.683155 1.432416 3.003823
2025-08-31 0.019095 0.050959 0.124222 0.297188 0.681912 1.472799 3.177299
2025-09-07 0.017530 0.048729 0.123013 0.304011 0.718370 1.592373 3.521433
2025-09-14 0.015808 0.045773 0.119654 0.305408 0.742983 1.689709 3.828933
2025-09-21 0.013965 0.042142 0.114102 0.300822 0.753432 1.757828 4.081010
2025-09-28 0.012373 0.038881 0.108947 0.296426 0.763662 1.826249 4.340054
2025-10-05 0.011729 0.038191 0.110269 0.308359 0.814078 1.988848 4.822653
2025-10-12 0.011566 0.038891 0.115362 0.330639 0.892228 2.221758 5.485020
2025-10-19 0.011039 0.038385 0.117108 0.344331 0.950493 2.413950 6.070808
2025-10-26 0.010006 0.036089 0.113516 0.343136 0.970674 2.518082 6.459864